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Essay on None Provided1 | ||
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This is the first 1,000 characters of 3270 words (13.08 pages) in the essay titled None Provided1 The million (or should we say billion now) dollar question is whether or not the United States economy will stay in it s record 107 month expansion (according to the index of leading indicators) or come out of the boom and take a downturn into a recession. Nobody, including the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan has a crystal ball to provide insight as to what will happen if interest rates are raised, lowered, or left alone. However, Economists have developed a set of indicators to aid in predicting when a recession is about to occur and when the economy is in one. Indicators should not be mistaken for predictors. They are simply forecasting tools, and like any forecast can be misleading. The index of leading indicators that is reported in the popular press shows our economy is still in an expansion. For the purposes of our evaluation of the economy, we chose the Principle Economic Indicators tracked by the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau under the Economics and Statistics Administration at the U.S. Department of Commerce. There are thirteen Principle Economic Indicators, and they fall into five major categories: National Output and Income; Orders, Sectoral Production, and Inventories; Consumer Spending; Housing and Construction; and Foreign Trade.The first of the five major categories directly relates to measuring the growth of the U.S. economy. National Output and Income consists of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Perso... |
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Keywords: index of leading indicators, economic indicators, gdp, alan greenspan, chairman of the federal reserve, economics and statistics administration, bureau of economic analysis, recession, principle, gross domestic product, united states economy, u s census bureau, u s census, forecasting tools, nominal current, dollar question, popular press, corporate profits, consumer spending, current value